The Mueller report release is the topic of the day, although
the Trump camp has started another attack on Obamacare. The 2020 election is coming
and the Green New Deal has brought the environment slightly to the news. However,
most liberals see the main task is getting rid of Trump first.
Here in the prairie we suffered flooding that was the result
of a bomb cyclone. Violent weather and excessive rain are thought to be a consequence
of warming.
I picked up a book on the climate change issues and politics,
David Wallace-Wells’ best seller The Uninhabitable Earth. In this book you can
find all our climate related problems catalogued. However, my main interest was
in the chapter Crisis Capitalism. Rather than actually focus on capitalism as a
factor, it is a list of behavioral economics factors. Psychologists have now
studied for decades how we make economic decisions. Israeli scholars Tversky
and Kahneman started the ball rolling and came up with the terms to describe
our “rule of thumb” behaviors when given choices.
This behavior is related to climate, because our response follows those rules of thumb. Most people
resisted the idea initially, of human caused warming and carbon dioxide effects.
Anchoring, ambiguity and other behaviors are at work. When faced with
uncertainty, we tend to react in such a way as to minimize loss. We are
programmed to recognize possible loss and avoid it. Winning is good, but loss
is what guides our behavior. Somehow it is not working in the face of climate
change. David Wallace-Wells stated that we treat it as a riddle, something not
understandable by the average person. He does not list conspiracies, but many
people have started thinking of the government and its published science as
merely as a conspiracy. Alex Jones and Breitbart capitalize on this, The
Heritage Foundation actually publishes misinformation.
David Wallace-Wells also mentions the bystander effect (let
us see what others do!). Optimism bias and pessimism bias are both active. The
latter leads to defeatism. We cannot do anything! The planet is too big, nature
is too big, it does stuff we cannot control, so why try doing anything?
Others think
politics is useless for any change, as lobbyists control politics rather than
voters. The internet and its manipulations in social media adds another item to
things we can’t fight. Others have pointed out that leftist dictatorships, such
as China, have more power to change things quickly if they wish. Some writers
point this out and a label, “shock doctrine” is used by Naomi Klein.
Young people without children are more likely to be affected
by peer pressure to do something in their personal lives. They can choose where
to live and work. Middle aged people are unlikely to change anything at all
until the children have left the house. Much of our rich lifestyle comes
directly out of burning fossil fuel. We are reaping the benefits of the energy
spent somewhere else on the planet and sent to us as food and products. Just
the shipping of cheaply made goods from Asia is a big energy drain. That fuel
is cheap diesel oil, so it does not add to the price of goods. Unless you tax
it.
People are drawn to prophets and preachers. Some will
respond to charismatic speakers rather than science. I myself have supported
people who have this skill, fully knowing that the prophets are simplifying things
for the common man. Al Gore, however, is not a favorite, I do not really like the
politicians who have taken up the challenge. Millionaires sometimes feel guilty
for the wealth they have collected and start global initiatives through their charities.
The economic impacts of climate change will eventually become a nagging everyday item. People will
eventually be dulled by it. However, small investments now will prevent even
bigger changes later on. We are not quite sure how the free market will help
things. It probably won’t. It will just be a fight for every little patch of
earth we own.
Finally: a little dark humor to end this piece.
