We can do this!

Trump is handling this badly. I don't think he knows what to do. He is preaching doom and gloom. The lighter material in his stand up is well worn insults. Who on earth would want to hear ten rallies of that?

Contrast this to Harris. I still can't say she is super at being charismatic and I did not like her speech back in 2020 debates and primaries. But Kamala will have a pretty good chance of convincing people that we are not screwed. After the pandemic and the post pandemic jerks and fits in the running of the world and our country, she is the first one to announce that we are done with that. Done with Trump, Biden sent to retirement. We have a good future. We can do this! (I am not the only one interpreting it this way, several  news people have said the same all day).

Social Media vs Facts (the facts are boring)

 The way people get info from media (CNN, MSNBC etc) on line and social media shatters everything to little bite size thing that you react to. Fox News is full of the clips that "prove" illegals are doing awful things.

The problem with all that is that you are not getting actual facts. Crime is down, fewer migrants crossed the border in 2024 than 2023. Some thing have not changed. Police still treat black people badly and are likely to shoot those that ask for help.

Where do you get real data then? Pinker wrote this book that shows the picture that Trump is painting is completly wrong.

The book is full of data, even graphs and tables. The world (well, the USA) is not more dangerous now. Government is not after you. Science is not out to get you.

The migrants are not invading. Rapist migrants are not hiding behind every tree in the park. There probably are more migrants housed somewhere in NY City now than under Trump. But we had a pandemic then.

This may be of some use to people that do not follow news or read anything of this sort (people do not read books anymore, they are too busy poking their phone). The MAGA people will not respond to this either. They have made up their mind and anything that does not back the MAGA dogma must be a conspiracy.

Kamala and Joe. If not Joe, then Kamala.

Trump would claim a win if the Democrats start looking for a new candidate. After the debate disaster, there seems to be a consistent message. Biden will run, as well as he can. If something happens betwee now and election, we get Kamala. That is the only message we need to send out. It shows strength.  The politcs and 2025 plan are exactly the same. The ten or so politicians that are speaking out are just making Democrats look chaotic at this point. Within a week or two, the switch to Kamala may come about. The problematic part is getting a VP in a short time. That will need to be a neutral choice, to make Kamala the more important part of the choice.

                             

ADDED 7-21

We all knew where it was going. Harris is likely (90%) the candidate. Vice presidents are usually named in August at the convention.

My prediction: a white man. Someone that will not put her in his shadow.