The situation
Trump is heading into Season 2 as President, but just a president in a reality show. Not a fully functioning one. He only thinks about how he looks. Polling may have some influence, but can also be dismissed as "fake." This is my take, based on four years of Trump. He could be much more dangerous, but his main concern is loyalty at the top, so my hope is that he will be less functional at ruining our lives. But there are some concerns, listed below.
We had an election and 49% of voters heard something they agreed with from Trump. But other than the general "we will raise tariffs" or "we will remove all the illegals," there were no specific solutions offered. He just presented them somehow with a determined voice. So here we go again. We did this once already. Why was it confusing to MAGA folks that Trump handled most things badly, including the pandemic? We don't know. They will have expectations, and their feelings will turn to apathy about politics sometime. It is quite unusual Trump lasted more than eight years.
Donald Trump appeared on the national scene mostly in 2015. Somehow many things happened and Trump went with his hunches and after quite a mess of nine years (his mess) got elected and here we are. It is not because anyone likes Trump, it is because he was somehow effective with a completely fake strawman argument. If the faithful supporters do have any feelings toward him, it is more the kind when you support the alpha male and somehow think he is on your side. A very small group are extreme followers of simply power. The Mar a Lago crowd and the guys who then somehow burn in a Tesla outside a Trump hotel. Don't ask me. I do not understand them.
A few voters idenfify as patriots. It remains to be seen what kind of patriot Trump is this time. The rest idenify him as the authoritarian and are used to that type of leader. Harris was a difficult figure for many a voter who were used to a white male, even if they were themselves from another group.
The Onion summarized the the two types:
Looking ahead
It will be difficult. And Trump will do a lot of damage in two years. Or even the last weeks before he is sworn in. The Supreme Court may help push extreme small government and social program changes for two years. But we must look ahead, too.
First the January mess. Trump getting his big party thanks to Billionaire money. And we are now moving toward the days when the chaos cabinet for Trump is assembled. A lot of it is putting in department heads to strip down their own department. But Trump is also showing his might over the senate. The senators still worry about re-election in 2026 and 2028. I assume they think they can run Vance in 2028.
But Vance is nothing, all bluster. Oh, he would run if there is enough support for him in the primaries. But if the MAGA folks are still intrested in politics in 2028, those are all he will get in 2028. It really does not matter if it is he or a more established Republican. They do not have anyone that can speak to MAGA (not the Trump way) and also get the independent voters by scaring them about "losing America."
The economic issues will not be solved. Trump promised nothing directly and the tariffs will not bring income of jobs to MAGA voters. With that, two years may not be enough. In four years MAGA voters will have apathy. Some foreigners were deported. A lot of things were deregulated. "What did Trump do for me?" Nothing.
It disturbs most of us that the 49% of voters would want to give Trump free hand at whatever he does. They may have been frustrated at congress achieving very little. But to most of us that is still preferred to having a dictator. The presidency does not need to be empowered more. And especially by a man controlled by whims and vanity.
I am still sticking to my prediction that we will have a different president every four years. That would also include the prediction that all old candidates are scrapped. Democrats in the primaries will not run Harris or Wlaz. It will be a governor.
SOCIAL MEDIA
I don't have a solution to this. The people Trump captured are not easy to reach via social media, podcasts etc. The strawmen arguments and conspiracy theories were entertaining. "They are eating our pets." Or, maybe just attention grabbing. We have none of that. Just light hearted poking fun at how stupid MAGA voters were.
The four years to 2028 election
The goal is to prevent him as much as possible. Prove that democracy works even here, and that by 2026 we will have this under control. Isn’t this a bit of an expensive experiment? First going to the Trump extreme, then bringing those essential things back. Trump can do a lot in two years. The failures in our constitution are obvious. If the president has the House and Senate and the supreme court, there are only the states and lower federal courts to hold him back.
Because Trump pulled out so many politicians from the house, he won't be very effective the first half year. He will attempt to deport as many aliens with the funds he has. Executive orders for many things. The other problem is what is happening with the budget just before Christmas and the first half year. We just have to see.
We can sort of make some guesses about Trump. He acts impulsively and will not back out of things he decides: Nippon Steel is not buying US Steel.
What is not guessing is that his cabinet is there merely to destroy the administrative state. Mike Johnson is openly talking about SMASHING it.
Trump starts right off with tariffs. A very astute analysis by this poster. Trump is campaigning. What he does best.
And this is partly the reason for his popularity. He campaigns and takes credit continuously. He makes himself the news.
Biden did none of that, a few speeches here and there. But he was so in the back ground, so presidential, that in this social media world it looks like he did nothing.
And we are still wondering about the 2024 election. What has become bolder is simple racism. Telling immigrants outright to go back where you came from. Immigration is not a trivial change for the immigrant. Some that have made it here and got some kind of job actually feel very much American, and would make good reliable workers. Those are the people that built America. If they have learned English, very few are willing to go back. They are even able to tolerate some hate toward their nationality, as so many of them have nowhere to go back to. There is not a way to make a living there, and they own no property back home.