Early Polling...and Independents

I respect independents enough that I don't think they are all politically naive. A lot of it is hatred of politics and politicians. These are people that decide things for you. You can send your congressman an email and a staff member will read it. But nothing happens. You form an opinion of that party (your congressman) based on being ignored. The independents then get to the election and with little information vote for one or the other, mainly by what items are in the  news for both that week.

Independents are a big part of polling looking strange. I believe they are not actually answering the question asked but just reflecting a general dislike of politics. Politics does run in the background and makes sure we have no catastrophes generated by bad planning. But those kinds of politics are not known to them. They do not want to hear politics in the news. Yet Trump is there in your face everyday. Trump knows he can make the news and the media just use that to make income. The independents ignore most of it. But the stuff they do hear, if they have any memory of it, is all negative.

One other problem with the polls is that they may not ask the right things. "Is there something else that makes you decide on Trump or Biden that we did not ask you about?" That sort of thing never gets asked. 

When so called independents are asked about Trump and Biden and the economy, I was a little confused. How is Trump running an economy? How did he run anything? Poorly. Perhaps these independents are simply libertarians and Biden running the economy would be ruining capitalism? It does not need to be run.

Or maybe I am reading too much into it? Independents do not care too much for the government, so Biden "running" it is just Biden wasting my tax dollars.

I have never been polled in a nonpartisan poll. I have voted for some 40 years.

Normally the voters are asked polling questions during the spring primaries. With Trump we are always pushing ahead of that. The independents (over 40%) are confused. Independents are still shopping for someone other than Trump of Biden. Too late. For the rest of us the question already came up in 2020. Who do you think can beat Trump? When you voted for Biden, you could reliably expect him to run again if Trump was running again. The not running issue would only have come up if the Republicans were past Trump. They are not. That, too, was predictable.