In 2016 and 2020 there was polling error. The factors were different. Let us just say it was complicated.
Kamala is looking to beat Trump in PA. However, it is harder to poll states than the country. Therefore the most recent poll seems to drive the state data presented at
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris
But polls are polls, and are not really facts. Rasmusen is skewed, Fox poll is occasionally realistic. But the setup for polls is not random. They are fixed to have the same numbers of democrats, independents and republicans as are registered to vote.
The tossup map is worth a look. It seems to be up to date.
https://www.realclearpolling.com/maps/president/2024/no-toss-up/electoral-college
Note that the table gives PA to Harris but the MAP above does not. With PA included Harris gets 276.
Even that is not news. And as for news, Trump is still getting too much news. He is running a risky campaign as many people out there are mad at him. Maybe just stick to the putting green and driving range, Mr Trump? He did not he ran a Nazi rally in NY.
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