Monday, October 7, 2024

White Males and others...the Trump Coalition

 It was a populist movement, a cult. It lasted a good 9-10 years. Trump has almos run out of steam, though there is some bluster still left to Trump at a rally. I think Trum is going to lose. But that does not solve our problem. These voters are still there in 2028. It will be hard to pass any major reform, such as rules for the Supreme Court and any plans to take the lifetime appointment away. As well as border plans. Some plan will emerge, but the Trump folks want zero immigrant admitted. 

He captured white males. Polls list men without a college degree. This Brookings chart lists just the so called working class. Overall, the Trump support is white males, but in the working class also a good portion of women. In the middle class voters it is not that way.

There is at times a lack of interst in an election from this group regarding the issues and a candidate. You can see it for McCain, but not especially for Romney. He was as far as possible from the working class!

A website has listed the types of Trump voters we had in the 2016 election:

https://www.voterstudygroup.org/publication/the-five-types-trump-voters

I've abbreviated the groups:


1. Staunch Conservatives (not recent, the always Republicans)

2. Free Marketers (tech boys, Musk)

3. American Preservationists. The people who think there is some idea of "America" that is under attack

4. Anti-Elites (I would include some libertrians, they just hate all of the federal gov't)

5. The Disengaged. People who literally don't care about politics. (there for the show, many of them racists this time around. They showed up at Trump rallies).

In the same way that you can trust that nearly 100% of Harley Davidson owners are Trumpers, you can get the feel for certain groups gravitating toward Trump.

The big strawman that Trump created for these people to focus on is illegal aliens. They are monsters, according to Trump. Groups 1-5 are not going to argue against that.


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