2024 Election

I have not got much support for my idea, but here goes. In this Internet age, we have completely lost patience. Many voters grew up with internet in most of their life. The result will be that we will have a string of presidents seving ONE TERM. Not two consecutive terms.

The media are definitely reaching voters. They knew of all the polling. States with a Democratic majority in most elections had low turnout as they knew Harris would win. California is still counting. It may be that both candidates get about 72 million votes in the end.

There were groups that seemed to react merely by gut feeling. Young black or Latino males in Michigan voted for the alpha male. Similar voters were able to vote for Biden 2020. It's easier to be the alpha male....if you are a male. And the abortion issue that should have won the election for Harris appears to have done nothing. Trump actually gained women voters. Threre the pro-life movement appears to be still quite stong.

But from those groups, abortion made little difference to white women (Guardian) :

The excitement to defeat Trump was definitely there in 2020. Looking at Pennsylvania.

Then in 2024 it was Trump that got almost the same number as Biden got in 2020. It cannot be the same 3.4 million that voted for Biden and now Trump, it just looks comical. The shift was some 100 000 voters. So even though Michigan was maybe doable for Harris (if she had had a whole year to campaign) this PA group of shifting voters was again decisive. NBC profiled Latino voters. They seemed to just want to blindly believe in a Trump economy to come. The black voters cannot be blamed, but it is odd that Biden had the huge turnout. He even won Georgia with a large percentage of black voters.

It may be noted that Harris was not just a woman but a vice president. Typically they do not do well, having sometimes spent almost eight years almost invisible to the general public.

Prediction for 2028: they will run a male governor.

From a blog, found a claim that there is a belief that Democrats do nothing...ever...for rural people:

People in big cities who can’t understand countryside anger don’t remember this experience, because this only happened in the countryside. Most people now laughing at Trump supporters for “voting against their interests” have not felt abandoned by all sides of their government yet. That must be nice.

That is largely an impression they get. Partly it is true because the very visible benefits of federal support are in cities. Not in small towns.

LOOKING FORWARD

It's one thing to think about us (Mike Johnson is out to wipe out all that remains of the New Deal, let alone Biden deals), but we also have to consider Ukraine. This may get resolved. And Putin may get some property without losing face. Trump and Vance claim the Nobel Peace Prize.

Then what? We have to fight to preserve what we have left of democracy. Then we need to think of 2028. Morning Joe was trashing the Democratic Party this morning. We have to abandon all wokism, presumably climate issues etc. Because we can't talk to the working man anymore. Well, that is all nonsense. We can keep all the policies, trans gender and all. We are a coalition. It has cat ladies and many single issue groups. No, we need a GUY. And I mentioned governors. We have one. Tim Walz will do it, he will joke and make fun of the failures of Trumpism and the frail old man that Trump will be. Or Vance running Trumpism. No wokism needs to be dumped. No need to talk about those issues so much. There are economy issues and a little more of the inclusiveness we have tried. And Walz can repeat one of Kamala's messages: Trump's party is one of hatred. We need to end that.

 Bring farmers on board. We help them as much as the GOP ever did. And..if Walz is not what the primaries want, then bring an actual Democratic Farmer on board. John Tester.

From my social media I am getting a lot of fear. Trump will do a lot of damage in two years. But as he is not in terribly good health, we will see him decline by year two. There is really nobody to take over him that has long term support. Yes, I am disappointed at the GOP since January 6th. But there is still hope. A lot of the worst will hit us this January. We will see what can be done.